PDA

View Full Version : Предсказания (так называемых) експертов.



Krakadil
04-15-2007, 07:05 PM
The Bill Gates one is my favorite.

They should add that "23 megs of user-addressable memory oughta be
enough for the Palm".

--

"Man will never reach the moon regardless of all future scientific
advances." -- Dr. Lee DeForest, "Father of Radio & Grandfather of
Television."

"The bomb will never go off. I speak as an expert in explosives." - -
Admiral William Leahy , US Atomic Bomb Project

"There is no likelihood man can ever tap the power of the atom." --
Robert Millikan, Nobel Prize in Physics, 1923

"Computers in the future may weigh no more than 1.5 tons." -- Popular
Mechanics, forecasting the relentless march of science, 1949

"I think there is a world market for maybe five computers ." -- Thomas
Watson, chairman of IBM, 1943

"I have traveled the length and breadth of this country and talked
with the best people, and I can assure you that data processing is a
fad that won't last out the year." -- The editor in charge of business
books for Prentice Hall, 1957

"But what ... is it good for?" -- Engineer at the Advanced Computing
Systems Division of IBM, 1968, commenting on the microchip.

"640K ought to be enough for anybody." -- Bill Gates, 1981

"This 'telephone' has too many shortcomings to be seriously considered
as a means of communication. The device is inherently of no value to
us," -- Western Union internal memo, 1876.

"The wireless music box has no imaginable commercial value. Who would
pay for a message sent to nobody in particular?" -- David Sarnoff's
associates in response to his urgings for investment in the radio in
the 1920s.

"The concept is interesting and well-formed, but in order to earn
better than a 'C,' the idea must be feasible," -- A Yale University
management professor in response to Fred Smith's paper proposing
reliable overnight delivery service. (Smith went on to found Federal
Express Corp.)

"I'm just glad it'll be Clark Gable who's falling on his face and not
Gary Cooper," -- Gary Cooper on his decision not to take the leading
ro le in "Gone With The Wind."


"A cookie store is a bad idea. Besides, the market research reports
say America likes crispy cookies, not soft and chewy cookies like you
make," -- Response to Debbi Fields' idea of starting Mrs. Fields'
Cookies.

"We don't like their sound, and guitar music is on the way out," --
Decca Recording Co. rejecting the Beatles, 1962.

"Heavier-than-air flying machines are impossible," -- Lord Kelvin,
president, Royal Society, 1895.

"If I had thought about it, I wouldn't have done the experiment. The
literature was full of examples that said you can't do this," - -
Spencer Silver on the work that led to the unique adhesives for 3-M
"Post-It" Notepads.

"Drill for oil? You mean drill into the ground to try and find oil?
You're crazy," -- Drillers who Edwin L. Drake tried to enlist to his
project to drill for oil in 1859.

"Stocks have reached what looks like a permanently high plateau." - -
Irving Fisher, Professor of Economics, Yale University , 1929.

"Airplanes are interesting toys but of no military value," -- Marechal
Ferdinand Foch, Professor of Strategy, Ecole Superieure de Guerre ,
France .

"Everything that can be invented has been invented," -- Charles H.
Duell, Commissioner, US Office of Patents, 1899.

"The super computer is technologically impossible. It would take all
of the water that flows over Niagara Falls to cool the heat generated
by the number of vacuum tubes required." -- Professor of Electrical
Engineering, New York University

"I don't know what use any one could find for a machine that would
make copies of documents. It certainly couldn't be a feasible business
by itself." -- the head of IBM, refusing to back the idea, forcing the
inventor to found Xerox.

"Louis Pasteur's theory of germs is ridiculous fiction." -- Pierre
Pachet, Professor of Physiology at Toulouse , 1872

"The abdomen, the chest, and the brain will forever be shut from the
intrusion of the wise and humane surgeon," -- Sir John Eric Ericksen,
British surgeon, appointed Surgeon-Extraordinary to Queen Victoria
1873.

And last but not least...

"There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home." --
Ken Olson, president, chairman and founder of Digital Equipment Corp.,
1977